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If a Nobel Prize for Economics is awarded to work on prediction markets before 2040, will the recipient be Robin Hanson?
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comprou á¹€10 YES

@JasonMendoza2008 what is your bot doing

@realTomBayes clever things

@realTomBayes or maybe I’m bad

@realTomBayes I can’t disclose really, it’s intellectual property

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18% chance
Will Robin Hanson win the Nobel Prize for Economics before his death?
5% chance
Robin Hanson wins a Nobel Prize in Economics?
17% chance
Will Robin Hanson (professor, blogger, and inventor of prediction markets) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
4% chance
Will someone win a Nobel prize in Economics for contributions to blockchain/cryptocurrencies by 2040?
45% chance
Will Robin Hanson ever turn down anyone who wants to talk to him about prediction markets?
78% chance
Assuming Robin Hanson is awarded the nobel prize, which of his research areas will it be related to?
Who will win a 2027 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences?
will anyone from elasticity.institute win nobel prize in economics by EOY2040?
45% chance
Will either a Nobel Prize in Economics or a Turing Award be awarded to Satoshi Nakamoto before 2050?
6% chance
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