How many Starships will launch before a Starship lands on the Moon?
7
1ká¹€605
2029
78%
>= 35
61%
>= 40
41%
>= 50

By date of launches and landing, not the flight number that does the landing, so inclusive of refueling flights.

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The current list has a March 2027 landing demo, which is the 18th flight on the list, but with "an unknown number of successful refueling flights will be required, estimated to be in the high teens". That would beat the 35 answer if it is 16 or fewer refueling flights and no additional flights not yet listed.

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