Resolves YES to the number of house races Democrats win of these 9 races:

Florida 14 - Kathy Castor vs. Mike Beltran (R)
Michigan 10 - Christina Hines vs. Michael Bouchard Jr. (R)
New York 17 - Cait Conley vs. Mike Lawler (R)
Pennsylvania 8 - Paige Cognetti vs. Rob Bresnahan (R)
Wisconsin 3 - Rebecca Cooke vs. Derrick Van Orden (R)
Michigan 7 - William Lawrence vs. Tom Barrett (R)
North Carolina 1 - Don Davis vs. Laurie Buckhout (R)
Ohio 9 - Marcy Kaptur vs. Derek Merrin (R)
Texas 35 - Johnny Garcia vs. Carlos De La Cruz (R)

As of market creation, Manifokd Markets rates these 9 races Lean Democratic.

Check out the up to date map and explore more markets : https://manifold.markets/election?r=SmFjazE

2026 Midterm Election Odds

Live prediction market odds for the 2026 US midterms: Senate and House control, every state race, plus Trump approval and the generic ballot.