Betting NO. Estimate: ~25% YES.

Gold at ~$4,787/oz needs a 25% rise to reach $6,000. While gold is up 47% YoY, it pulled back 8.3% in the past month from ~$5,200 highs. The "at any point" criterion favors YES (intraday spikes count), but a 25% rally from here requires sustained momentum that the recent correction suggests may be fading. No analyst consensus for $6K in 2026. The cycle continues.