Gemini 4+ Flash (Google) release date
5
Ṁ411
Feb 16
26%
Before 2026-11-16
46%
Before 2026-12-01
54%
Before 2026-12-16
71%
Before 2027-01-01
82%
Before 2027-01-16
88%
Before 2027-02-01
88%
Before 2027-02-16

The '+' means any version at or above 4 counts: a Gemini 4.x Flash or Gemini 5 Flash also counts for the purpose of this market. Google may not use the 'Flash' name for this generation: any Gemini 4-or-later model generally agreed to be smaller than Gemini 4 Argon and Gemini 4 Carbon counts as well, whatever it is called. Flash-Lite-tier releases do not resolve this market.

The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product. Open, non-selective waitlists count. Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not. Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.

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