France, Germany, Netherlands, or Belgium have Muslim public holiday by 2040?
12
100á¹€2862039
57%
chance
1H
6H
1D
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ALL
If holidays can differ within the country (like by state/Bundesland in Germany) it has to be adopted by enough jurisdictions to affect at least 66% of the population.
I'll use Wikipedia as source of truth for population counts and official, public holidays. If there is a holiday relevant to Christians and Muslims (no idea if this exists) it doesn't count.
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