Manifold only allows trades on yes/no markets between 1% and 99%. This can potentially pose an issue when trying to seriously forecast probabilities under 1%.

However, this market is going to test out a way to do this.

If the country of Morocco still exists by July 1st, 2026, this market resolves 1%. Otherwise, it resolves YES.

Essentially the probabilities under 1% are mapped to within Manifold's bounds as well, so they can be legitimately distinguished between.