Conditional on it all working out, in what year will Eliezer Yudkowsky be revived from cryo-preservation?

1kṀ416

2050

51%

< 2100

17%

2100 - 2200

1.6%

2200 - 2300

1.5%

> 2300

2134

14%

Advancements in life extension tech obviates the need for this before he dies.

13%

Other

Conditional on cryonics working, Eliezer Yudkowsky living until he is preserved, and nothing bad happening either to him or humanity in-between, when will Eliezer be revived from cryo-preservation?

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vendeu Ṁ5 YES

@CertaintyOfVictory This is a subset of 2100 - 2200.

@Elspeth Yes, and a subset of <40000 but I'll make more mana by betting the exact year.

@CertaintyOfVictory The options are mutually exclusive.

@Elspeth What makes you think that?

@CertaintyOfVictory Trading on one causes the others to change prices.

@Elspeth Oh, yeah, I see. Makes no sense at all to allow free response then. Can you sort that out, please @ThothHermes? Seems like your market is misconfigured.

if we make some big quick advancements in life extension tech, and Yudowsky is around alive and well at age 150 without ever needing to be cryopreserved, what does this market resolve to?

I love this question but you might want to re-create it as a multiple choice question rather than free response. Free response lets anyone submit more answers and is better used for questions that are open-ended, but doesn't really make sense here.
(If you resolve this N/A you'll get your mana back)