Em altaUrgenteNovo
PolíticaEsportesCriptoFinançasGeopolíticaResultadosTecnologiaCulturaMundoEconomiaEleições
Conditional on humanity reaching Kardashev stage 2, what will be the primary source of energy when it does?
8
220Ṁ1081
4000
80%
Dyson swarm
3%
Dyson sphere
1.1%
Hawking radiation from microsingularities
16%
Other

Futurism
Long-term Markets
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Ordenar por:

I just estimated that there’s no material strong enough for a Dyson sphere at 1au around the sun. (500Gpa/(0.0058m/s^2*2.7g/ml) << 1 au) so you’d have to build it all the way out at >2.5AU Much easier to construct a close-up Dyson swarm and use 1000x less material.

Pessoas também estão operando

By 2060, will humanity harness and utilize energy on a scale approaching Type I on the Kardashev scale?
29% chance
By 2050, will humanity harness and utilize energy on a scale approaching Type I on the Kardashev scale?
10% chance
When will Earth-originating life become Kardashev 1.6 total or higher?
When will Earth-originating life become Kardashev 1.3 total or higher?
When will Earth-originating life become Kardashev 0.9 total or higher?
Will humanity get its hydrocarbon energy via solar-powered hydrocarbon synthesis in the next 20 years (ie by 2035)
32% chance
Will basedbeffjezos be alive to see humanity become a kardashev level one civilization
26% chance
Will Edwin S Kite be alive to see humanity become a kardashev level one civilization
46% chance
Will humans have developed the infrastructure to extract rare elements from sources outside of Earth by the year 2200?
92% chance
Will human civilization build a Dyson Sphere before 2200?
66% chance
© Predita Markets, Inc.•Termos de Uso•Privacidade