Conditional on AGI being available by 2045, will Eliezer Yudkowsky be declared enemy #1 by the AI during the first 60 days? | Axel

Em alta Urgente Novo

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Conditional on AGI being available by 2045, will Eliezer Yudkowsky be declared enemy #1 by the AI during the first 60 days?

13

1kṀ1023

2046

7%

chance

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If by 2045 we have artificial general intelligence, this market resolves to YES if in the 60 days after that Eliezer Yudkowsky is non-ironically declared the enemy #1 by the AI.

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No, because regardless of what Eliezer says about the AI, I don't expect him to hold any sizeable power before 2045.

As the AGI will be smarter than you (no offence) how will you tell if it's being ironic?

@RobinGreen if it's a poe's law, I'll resolve to YES

I'm proud to hold some YES in this market

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+3% 1d41% chance

Will we get AGI before 2036?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get killed by an AI?

At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky work for any major AI-related entity by 2027?

Will Eliezer Yudowsky become romantically involved with an AI before 2030?

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Perguntas relacionadas

Will we get AGI before 2032?

Will we get AGI before 2034?

Will we get AGI before 2039?

Will we get AGI before 2031?

Will we get AGI before 2036?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get killed by an AI?

At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky work for any major AI-related entity by 2027?

Will Eliezer Yudowsky become romantically involved with an AI before 2030?

Will Yudkowsky claim that he is more than 90% sure that AI will kill everyone no later than 1 year after the claim?

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