Condition on DPP winning the 2024 election, Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?
7
170Ṁ912027
20%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Does DPP's non-corporation with China increase the chance of invasion?
Resolution follows the same criteria as https://manifold.markets/MarlonK/will-china-attempt-to-invade-taiwan
This market will resolve "yes" if there is a Chinese military attack with the intention to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027.
This question is answered "No" if there is:
no military conflict between the two parties
a limited military conflict without triggering a major war
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