China invades Taiwan vs China lands on the Moon ; Before 2030
7
380Ṁ1332029
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
15%
China invades Taiwan ; China lands on the Moon
17%
China invades Taiwan ; China doesn't land on the Moon
45%
China doesn't invade Taiwan ; China lands on the Moon
22%
China doesn't invade Taiwan ; China doesn't land on the Moon
Before 2030, not including it.
-Invades the main island of Taiwan. If there is a lack of clarity it should resolve according to the largest applicable 'China invades Taiwan' market on Manifold at the time.
-Crewed landing. Crew must leave the lander and walk on the surface.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?
40% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
34% chance
Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?
39% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by EOY 2030
28% chance
Will China invade Taiwan before 2027
9% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?
41% chance
Will China invade Taiwan before 2028?
24% chance
If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030
40% chance
When will China invade Taiwan
If China does not invade Taiwan by 2024-12-31, will it invade Taiwan by 2030-12-31?
42% chance