By when will the first non-traditional launch of an orbital payload happen?
1
1ká¹€4502050
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
72%
2050-12-31
50%
2040-12-31
34%
2035-12-31
24%
2032-12-31
Space elevators, launch loops, mass drivers, spin launch, whatever. Anything that gets at least 1/3 of its delta-V from something not a rocket counts. From the surface of the Earth, Moon, Mars, or anything else with at least the Moon's escape velocity, to orbit or escape. Payload must survive enough to transmit from orbit or do something useful.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
When will an orbital launch from continental Europe first successfully reach orbit?
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
Which orbital booster will hold the reuse turnaround time record, as of EOY 2026?
Which will be the first year that China successfully launches more orbital rockets than the USA?
When will a spacecraft be launched by non-rocket means?
N/A
Will an all-reused European orbital launch vehicle reach orbit before 2040?
30% chance
Before which Starship flight will SpaceX first announce they will *attempt* at least one orbit?
When will Starship first launch with useful payload?
When will Starship first deploy a commercial* satellite to orbit?
When will there first be 20 people in orbit at the same time?
2029