'Breakthrough' Frontier Math Open Problem solved before 2028
7
100Ṁ1432028
54%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Context: https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems
There are currently 4 categories of Frontier Math Open Problems: Moderately Interesting, Solid Result, Major Advance, Breakthrough. This market will resolve yes if 1 of the 3 breakthrough problems are solved by AI.
If more 'Breakthrough' questions are added, they are also considered for the resolution of this market. If a problem is removed, it will not be considered. If it is solved by a human beforehand, it will be up to the judgement of EpochAI whether it is valid or not.
Esta pergunta Ă© gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
How many FrontierMath Open Problems solved in 2026?
How many FrontierMath Open Problems solved by EOY2027?
Will AI models solve at least 2 FrontierMath Open Problems before 2027?
81% chance
Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?
77% chance
When will Epoch's Frontier Math be solved? (>90%)
Highest Epoch-acknowledged FrontierMath score at EOY2026?
71.0
Will Moltbook solve any open FrontierMath problems in 2026?
5% chance
Number of open Erdös problems resolved in 2026
Will an AI make a new breakthrough on the hardest math problems, as defined by Epoch AI, by the end of 2027?
48% chance
Benchmark Gap #8: Once a single AI gets >= 80% on FrontierMath Tier 4, how long until an AI publishes a math paper?
16