Before 2028, will any AI lab release a frontier model that performs O(n) sequence modeling?
5
100Ṁ1162027
23%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if before 2028 any major AI lab releases a model with O(n) sequence modeling that performs equally or better than SOTA at most reported benchmarks.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will a new lab create a top-performing AI frontier model before 2028?
72% chance
Will there be a significant advancement in frontier AI model architecture by end of year 2026?
25% chance
Will models be able to do the work of an AI researcher/engineer before 2027?
6% chance
Will a frontier AI lab publicly report catching one of its own models gaming a safety evaluation before the end of 2027?
50% chance
Will one AI lab pull ahead before 2028?
33% chance
Will the US implement testing and evaluation requirements for frontier AI models by 2028?
89% chance
Will any frontier AI lab publicly commit to a Human Preservation constraint in model architecture before 2029?
50% chance
Will any frontier lab be near-fully automated before 2029?
31% chance
Will China restrict the open release of frontier AI models above a capability threshold by end of 2027?
79% chance
Will the US require a license to develop frontier AI models by 2028?
41% chance