Will AI xrisk seem to be handled seriously by the end of 2026?

Which AI risks will grow in global attention in Q3/2026?

Will Pope Leo XIV cite in his text the CAIS Statement on AI Risk before 2028?

Is the nature of AI risk completely misunderstood today with respect to the state of the art in 2030?

Will AI lead to an S-risk by 2100?

By EOY 2026, will Yann LeCun do a 180 on his view of x-risk from AI?

By 2028, will I believe that contemporary AIs are aligned (posing no existential risk)?

In 2030, will we think FLI's 6 month pause open letter helped or harmed our AI x-risk chances?

In 2050, will the general consensus among experts be that the concern over AI risk in the 2020s was justified?

If someone commits anti-AI-xrisk terrorism, will AI xrisk worries be generally marginalized afterwards?