[ACX 2026] Will the composition of the US Supreme Court change in 2026?
29
5.1kṀ6090Dec 31
41%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
Metaculus high-level description:
This question will resolve as Yes if, before January 1, 2027, any of the following takes place:
a sitting US Supreme Court Justice officially leaves office
a federal bill that changes the number of seats in the US Supreme Court is enacted, regardless of the effective date.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will a Supreme Court Justice retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
60% chance
Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026?
No Supreme Court vacancy opens in 2026?
84% chance
Will Sonia Sotomayor still be on the Supreme Court at the end of 2026?
93% chance
When will the U.S. Supreme Court stop having a conservative majority?
Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative?
83% chance
What will be the Republican-Democrat balance of US Supreme Court justices by the 2029 inauguration?
Will the supreme court be majority-women in 2040?
21% chance
Will Americans' confidence in the Supreme Court decline in 2026, according to Gallup?
73% chance
Will the US supreme court contain more than 9 justices before 2030?
15% chance