2nd largest company end of July 2026?
114
1kṀ79k
Aug 1
77%
Apple
23%
NVIDIA

This market will resolve to the second largest company in the world by market cap at the end of July 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be https://companiesmarketcap.com

See also:

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aberto aṀ180 YES at 72% order

@Mochi you see now it's betting Apple to 106%. oh well, thx for the mana!

ok i think i see the source of the issue:

So for the top 3 totals they have Apple at 9+75+20 =104%

Alphabet at 2+17+79 =98%

Nvidia at 89+6+4 =99%

Edit: this is not arbing, you're supposed to make money by betting on both platforms and somehow converting mana into cash or vice versa. Maybe instead of having the bot blindly impose those silly prices on us rational traders here, perhaps give it some cash and make money correcting the mispricing over there?

@deagol I see that this is indeed wrong prices. But I am too lazy to improve it, just enjoy the free mana

aberto aṀ200 YES at 69% order

@Mochi your bot is betting for impossible outcomes when combining these 3 markets

/Bayesian/largest-company-end-of-july-2026

/Bayesian/2nd-largest-company-end-of-july-202 (this market)

/Bayesian/3rd-largest-company-end-of-july-202

So in this trade and another on the first market it's betting up to 104% chance that Apple gets one of the top three slots.

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