🚢 Will Iran and Oman reach an agreement to reopen shipping through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
16
100Ṁ548in a day
8%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution criteria:
Resolve YES if, by 11:59 PM UTC on August 31, 2026, Iran and Oman officially announce an agreement permitting regular commercial shipping through a designated route in the Strait of Hormuz. A temporary one-off passage of individual vessels without an announced agreement does not count. Resolve NO otherwise.
(Identical market to: source market)
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
🚢 Will Iran and Oman reach an agreement to reopen shipping through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
10% chance
Strait of Hormuz returns to normal by end of August 31?
1% chance
Will the temporary Iran–Oman Hormuz shipping route begin operating by September 15?
11% chance
Will Iran and Oman announce a permanent Hormuz shipping scheme by October 31?
21% chance
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by February 28th 2027? [Polymarket]
36% chance
Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
17% chance
Strait of Hormuz returns to normal by end of July 2027?
45% chance
Will Strait of Hormuz daily transits reach 40+ vessels on any day before September 20, 2026?
9% chance
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Metaculus]
1% chance
Who will control the Strait of Hormuz on December 1, 2026?