Will Abdul El-Sayed win by 7 points or more?
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1ká¹€14kNov 4
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Abdul El-Sayed said in May he would beat Mike Rogers by 7. Will he?
This question resolves yes if Abdul El-Sayed wins the 2026 Michigan Senate race by greater than or equal to 7 points. It resolves no otherwise.
I will use the certified results as ground truth, but I will probably resolve this the day after the election based on the New York Times results page if the resolution is obvious.
I may trade on this market.
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